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Saturday, March 26, 2011

Washington, Ankara grow closer as wave of revolts continues

Washington hosted two high-level Turkish diplomats this week and had a chance to listen to the Turkish administration’s foreign policy vision spanning from Eurasia to the Middle East and North Africa during various think tank discussions.
One of the visiting diplomats, Ambassador Selim Yenel, deputy undersecretary for Bilateral Affairs and Public Diplomacy, was in Washington primarily for the sixth meeting of the U.S.-Turkey Economic Partnership Commission to follow up previous meetings to find ways to increase the trade between two countries. However, Yenel spent considerable time to reach members of the Congress, especially from the House Foreign Relations Committee, met some of the new members of the commission, and also talked at the German Marshall Fund, in a panel organized by Ian Lesser, senior Transatlantic fellow there. Interest in this particular discussion was high, as many of Washington’s serious Turkey watchers as well as diplomats from various European countries crowded the conference room.
During his talk, Ambassador Yenel gave a strikingly plain presentation on especially Turkey’s approach toward the Libyan unrest. Yenel appeared remarkably comfortable not only with his excellent English speaking but also while explaining some of Turkey's foreign policy dealings that have been under some criticism. When asked about Prime Minister Tayyip Erdoğan’s and Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu’s universalistic rhetoric especially in the Middle East, and how that particular rhetoric, (for example Erdoğan’s earlier remarks, “We call murder as murder anywhere in the world”) contrasts with Turkey’s soft-spoken language and “case-by-case” attitude toward Libya, Yenel replicated Turkey’s realist approach in pretty clear terms and articulated, “The Libyan case is a little different because of our vested interests there. Our people are working there, our companies. That is why we are taking a cautious approach on how we address this matter. Prime Minister Erdoğan talked to Gadhafi and told him, ‘Look, you have to look out for our Turkish interests there.’ And beyond that, of course we do have a holistic approach. But in real terms, when the situation becomes as difficult as it is now, as we are seeing in Libya, we have to be a realistic; we have to look out for our interests there. Frankly speaking, right now, we don’t know whether Gadhafi or the opposition can have any influence on what happens there. So, yes, saying certain things are good, but living in the real world, of course our approach and our policies have to gear toward this realism.”
Yenel’s straightforward definition of Turkey’s current foreign affairs in Washington remained very much the Nixon Doctrine in the late 60s and early 70s. Pursuer of realism, President Nixon’s basic theme in foreign affairs, which he wrote himself in February 1970 in the first annual report on foreign policy, was: “Our [national] interests must shape our commitments, rather than the other way around.” According to his foreign policy chief Henry Kissinger, “Nixon had treated American idealism as one factor among many,” while pursuing cold national interests.
Yenel, both at the GMF and later on Thursday at the Washington Foreign Policy Center where he and U.S. Assistant Secretary for Economic, Energy and Business Affairs Jose W. Fernandez, the head the U.S. delegation gave a press conference, repeated that what is taking place in North Africa and Middle East countries brought Turkey and the U.S. even closer together in the last three weeks. According to Yenel, both countries are talking to each other daily and much more often now. “The U.S. administration understands us better now,” Yenel said. "But is the attitude toward Turkey in Congress changing? It is still too early to tell.” During the congressional meetings of the Turkish delegation, Turkey’s dealing with Libya was not met with a hostile attitude, but on Israel and Iran, it appeared that the Turkish arguments still failed to make considerable gain. Revolts that are taking place in those countries created a new chance to bring us altogether together, Yenel reiterated.
According to Scott Wilson of the Washington Post, the Obama administration is preparing for the possibility of new Islamist regimes following the revolts in North Africa or Middle East. And certainly the Justice and Development Party, or AKP's, value in the region rises, considering its Islamist roots ruling still a largely secular political system, and makes its alliance even more precious and sought-out.
During his GMF talk, Yenel also heard criticism about Turkey’s approach to Iran, especially following the June 2009 presidential elections in which the Turkish administration stayed aloof regarding Iranian regime's harsh treatment of protesters. Yenel once more resorted to the “case-by-case” approach and described the overthrown dictator of Egypt, Hosni Mubarak, as a “statesman” who was able to understand “the messages given to him by Prime Minister Erdoğan.” Yenel drew a contrast between situations in Iran and Egypt, and argued that in Iran there is more than one power center, while it was clear whom to deal with in Egypt. Instead, Turkey chooses to give its messages to Iran in private conversations, because the Iranian leaders do not like hearing criticism publicly.
Turkey’s bare “realist” approach to Libya, and the region, which was clearly articulated by Ambassador Yenel from different podiums this week in many ways reduces Ankara’s moral credibility. After all, simply, if Turkey’s “vested interests” in Libya do not permit Ankara to change its soft rhetoric, even after evacuating of all Turkish citizens, how would it be possible for Erdoğan to criticize any other country for double standards, considering various Western states have various levels of interest in each Middle Eastern country, including Israel.
One would hope that closer relations with the U.S. these days, as Ambassador Yenel happily stated, would also nudge Turkey's rhetoric from cold realism toward one that has a more universalistic tone, which Washington has been trying hard to strike.
US not shy on criticizing Ankara for freedom issues
I asked Assistant Secretary of State and spokesman P.J Crowley more than a dozen questions over the worsening record of Turkey’s freedom of press in recent months. Every time I had to ask, Crowley had plain responses that indicated that the U.S. administration has growing concerns over “the trend” in Turkey, which appears to be “intimidating” the Turkish press. P.J., on Thursday, added that the U.S. is urging for “any investigations or prosecutions to proceed in a transparent manner, and we will continue to engage Turkey and encourage an independent, pluralistic media.  It’s critical to a healthy democracy. And we will continue our assessments of global press freedoms in our annual Human Rights Report,” which is expected to be released in the coming weeks.
However, let’s not kid ourselves. It is not the U.S. that will solve the freedom of expression issues in Turkey, and it is not certainly the U.S. that orchestrates the arrests of journalists, as conspiracy theorists, including a big part of Oda TV-type journalists, have been arguing all along.
It is important to note that Erdoğan, on the same day that another round of journalists got arrested, stated, “There is only one thing I have to say; it is these processes need to be finished quickly, in a short time. This is my wish, and I would like to especially state this.”
It is a hopeful sign, even if it comes this late. However, it is obvious that the Turkish media has to take a firm stand first, while expecting the U.S. or EU to voice those concerns. The latest events in the region displayed once more how powerful ordinary people are, and how hapless Washington is while trying to catch up with their aspirations.
 
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Guest - FREE WiKiLeaks
2011-03-06 23:12:21
 What a loads of Trash! Tell our US 'friends', FREE WiKiLeaks. Nominee Julian Assange as Noble Prize. 
Guest - Christoph
2011-03-06 21:12:02
 Sorry to dissapoint your nationalist beliefs but I am not a Greek Cypriot, ilker/cyprus. I am an American of Greek ethnicity who had family in Smyrna (Izmir) before the 'Great Exchange' in 1922. Anatolia is as much a home to me as it is to you, my family loved their home in Smyrna. But be that as it may, my only 'axe to grind' is I want to see Turkey become a progressive, modern society. You say that is happening under the AKP regime, I say they are taking you backwards. The Deep State may have been defanged to some extent, but the Islamists have no answers for Turkey that will lead you into the 21st Century. Erdogan, Gul and Davutoglu will lead Turkey to ruin and ruination-I believe that with my heart and soul. Since, as you said, they are undoubtedly going to win the next elections we'll get a chance to see which of us is right. 
Guest - ilker/cyprus
2011-03-06 18:55:35
 @ Christoph No doubt you are a greek nationalist proberly a cypriot who has lost his land to the antolian immergrants thats why you bear a deep hatred towards turks,for your information the best thing that has ever hapened to turkey was the akp party who has brought wealth and respect back to turkey and turks in general,and thank god they have changed turkey from a coup based backward pheasant mentality to a modern forward thinging country that it is today.The AKP party will win the next elections and will be here for another five years and you see how turkey will change even further for the better of the country i belive, and all you can do is watch with envy. 
Guest - Steve
2011-03-06 16:56:10
 @ Sam: You are absolutely right when you state: "When will the US and other powers stop bringing their puppets to power, when the wealth and resources are shared, including education and jobs -- that is when democracy will be reached." . . . Although WE have to remember, Isn't the American Government populated by "puppets" purchased from the storeroom and weened upon the tidings of the Global Corporate Fascists, and only work for THEIR bidding? To expect anything else out of such a group would require miracles -- they know no other way -- and, IF they did, they'd be recalled & reprogrammed immediately to REMEMBER the bottom line. 
Guest - Christoph
2011-03-06 16:35:05
 @ ilke/cyprus, I comment here because somebody has to think in this forum. All you and H. Kemal do is parrot nationalist nonsense and hate speech. Turkey is in dire need of opinions that aren't in lock-step with the Deep State and AKP minions. For too many decades the powers-that-be in Turkey issued policy from on high and everyone else said 'Yup-yup-yup'. That must end. Why don't you take up critical thinking, you may find you enjoy it? 
Guest - ilker/cyprus
2011-03-06 16:04:08
 @ Christoph Same old b...s..t from you as normal,why dont you do us a favour and stick to your greek news and stop your bial and hatred towards turkey and turks if thats all you have to offer this forum. 
Guest - ZV
2011-03-06 11:16:29
 @American, please you don't open your mouth. all that comes out of your mouth is non-sense. You have no clue what is going on in Palestine. If Palestinians are terrorists for defending their right to live in that land, then Israelis are equally terrorists for bombing the hell out of those Palestinians. eye for an eye! 
Guest - Kahan
2011-03-06 05:00:24
 I respectfully disagree with the Guest-American. No doubt, Gaddafi is ruthless. He opresses, suppresses and tortures his own people. But without Ameican and European tolerance of him, he would not reach this stage today. Erdogan is doing everything to safeguard the interests of his own country. He knows the West understands OIL more than anything else. And, if some puppet is placed by the West as replacement of Gaddafi, Turkey has lot to lose. No doubt Erdogan criticizes Israel. It is sad. But both sides contribute to the Turkey-Israeli problem. Israel should realize it. 
Guest - Sam
2011-03-06 03:09:59
 If America or American states it, it must be truth ... Other countries do not matter, their interests dont matter ... Only US interests are at stake and the road taken should preserve and enhance their interests ... Is this what American is stating ? Bring universal embargos let the everyday people suffer even more, bomb the shit out of everything and get the contracts for all after that ? Is that the American model or doctorine ? When will the US and other powers stop bringing their puppets to power, when the wealth and resources are shared including education and jobs that is when democracy will be reached ... Not when the US wants to rape and pillage your country! 
Guest - Dulcinea
2011-03-06 00:22:13
 Great article. Going forward, the Middle East will be a more complicated animal to deal with. Both Turkey's and US' moral credibility have been damaged, and will continue to be damaged as both countries struggle to deal with the many interest groups, and advance their interests in the region. 
Guest - Christoph
2011-03-05 20:49:54
 The premise of this article-that the middle east turmoil has brought Turkey and the USA closer-is just flat out wrong. Turkey under the AKP regime has drifted far away from America. Turkey is no longer trusted in Washington DC-the 14-1 UN SC votes were evidence of that. Turkey refusing to support Libyan economic sanctions is more evidence of that. Mr. Tanir's article is more hope than factual. The reality is, relations between Turkey and the USA have been going south since 2003 when Turkey refused to provide logistical support for the US led invasion of Iraq. Since then they have gone steadily downward. Today Washington only communicates with Turkey's leadership when they want to 'advise them' not to do something. 
Guest - Victor
2011-03-05 20:29:50
 AMERICAN, you must have heard that we in USA do not produce many citizens (most politicians included) who are even remotely informed about world affairs! So, your comment reflecting your prejudice against Turkish Government and your blind support for everything Israeli is nothing surprising to any one here! Remember that your extremely excessive exaggerations of the Israeli situation only diminish your credibility in more ways than one!! How can you say, “insulting Israel for bombing terrorists launching rockets into Israel daily?!” Who are these terrorists? Palestinians who were kicked out of their homeland for the Jews? Launching more like FIRECRACKERS than rockets! And, DAILY?! What would happen if, like Israel, USA also slaughtered 1500 civilians, with over 400 children (SEE: http://www.uruknet.de/?s1=1&p=50434&s2=06) each time a US soldier was captured or killed in a foreign country?? Did you even read or understand the Turkish response in the article regarding Libya? I doubt it!! 
Guest - Daniel in Argentina
2011-03-05 19:49:51
 Dear Guest American I´ll tell you what is it: It is simply that Erdogan knows that stirring the deep antisemitic feelings in the least educated segments his society he can score easy points.. By playing to the Anti Israeli crowds of hate indoctrinated arab masses that have been lead by their despotic leaders to believe all their problems are rooted in Isarel's mere existence, he can gain the applause of the Arab street.. He is a demagogue ready to use the vile antisemitic propaganda of Gebbles and the Zars if that helps him politically. and there are vast segments of the educated turkish establishment most willing to play along... 
Guest - Daniel in Argentina
2011-03-05 19:46:01
 Dear Guest American I´ll tell you what is it: It is simply that Erdogan knows that stirring the deep antisemitic feelings in the least educated segments his society he can score easy points.. By playing to the Anti Israeli crowds of hate indoctrinated arab masses that have n been lead by their despotic leaders to believe all their problems are rooted in Isarel's mere existence 
Guest - ilker/cyprus
2011-03-05 17:46:07
 Excellent article by Ihan. I dont see anything wrong with turkeys policy of adopting the old nixon doctrine,israel acts all the time in its own interests.Obama is not stupid he listens more to turkey then anybody else,as for turkeys relations with iran its more economic,and when ever america needs a favour from iran they ask turkey, a example was the arms shipment to chaves, american wanted this stopped they asked turkey to tell the iranian to stop the shipment.Turkeys approach is allways dialog rather then confrontation,these are the principals of the father of turkey M.K.ATATURK. The world would be a better place if the world followed these same principals i belive. 
Guest - American
2011-03-05 03:03:46
 Erdogan had no problem insulting Israel for bombing terrorists who were launching rockets into Israel daily, but he refuses to utter a word on Libya. That is hard to reconcile and justify. At best it is hypocrisy and populism at it's worst. At worst it is arrogance. 

Turkey’s special role, Ricciardone and an Armenian-Turkish concert

“Normalization of history,” Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu said while describing what has been taking place in Tunisia and Egypt. Indeed, Davutoğlu’s great emphasis on the end of the Cold War and hailing of the post-Cold War period as getting rid of abnormal relations and borders in especially the Balkans and the Caucasus must be noted as an important portion of his strategic viewing of the upcoming new world's diplomatic order.
However, Davutoğlu said during a recent interview with Cansu Çamlıbel from daily Hürriyet that unnatural borders and anomalously powerful state structures in Middle East have survived to this day. The reason the change is finally coming to Middle East and Arab world now, according to Davutoğlu, is because “like the whole world, the Middle East lived through a communication revolution. Before, there were only official and semi-official television channels; now there are hundreds of private Arab television channels. The things that were recognized as signs of power before are now perceived as signs of weaknesses. People started to see the reason for this weakness in the state. WikiLeaks [Cablegate] drove this [belief] to the top. There are things deciphered [in the cables] about the foreign policies of Arab leaders that have shaken people’s confidence and trust in their leaders and states.”
When the Cablegate saga first began, only about two months ago, I argued with excitement about why these revelations are so thrilling and how big of an earthquake they will create across the world, contrary to those who saw the leaks as “overblown.” Since, as a sign of serious testimony, Turkey’s foreign minister confirms my early analysis about the monumental magnitude of the Cablegate revelations in terms of their decisiveness to help bring serious transition to the region, it is imperative for Turkish foreign policy-makers now to get ahead of the curve.
U.S. diplomacy ran hard to catch up with Egypt’s revolution since its start on Jan. 25 and according to common wisdom among Washington’s foreign policy wonks, it still barely responded to events a day behind. The Wilsonian diplomacy, which preaches values-based democracy as leading principal of early 20th century U.S. foreign policy, in essence offers substantial groundwork for U.S. diplomats for such sudden demands today. That is why, at the end of the day, the demand for freedom that made waves across Egypt echoed in Capitol Hill and found a bipartisan support in Washington among heavyweights of the Republican opposition and Democrat administration alike. Egyptians’ loud outcry for universal rights cluttered Washington’s post-World War mentality of going and staying in bed with dictators, and urged it to throw its iron handed Mubarak under the bus within a mere week. And this was done, despite its strongest ally in region, Israel’s, deep concerns of post-Mubarak regime or no matter how bad the abandonment move looks to other U.S.-ally dictators in the region.
There is no doubt that last two weeks have been a delicate test for Turkey’s conservative democrats, the Justice and Development Party, or AKP as well. Turkey’s Prime Minister Erdoğan appeared not one day, but a week behind Egyptian revolution when he at last unequivocally told Mubarak to step down with an Islamic-blended message on Tuesday: “No government can survive against the will of its people. The era of governments persisting on pressure and repression is over ... All of us are mortals, transient things. All of us will die and will be judged on what we have done. Our resting place as Muslims is two square meters of earth."
Even though it was such a belated reaction, nevertheless the region’s rising star’s stance on the Egyptian people’s side registered with the world media. The Egyptian test, in a way, was the easiest for Ankara for its well known not-so-good relations with Cairo for a number of reasons.
Davutoğlu’s vision, in its originality which can be seen best in his book “Strategic Depth,” published 2001, pursues “no conflicts” in the neighborhood and aims to bring peace and stability that can be cultivated further through increased economic activities and cultural exchanges. This vision appears more fragile now than ever if the domino effect continues to take a hold in countries like Syria and Jordan, with whose leaders Turkey enjoys great friendships, counter to Egypt.
Since Davutoğlu admits that changes in Arab world are triggered by social networking sites and transparency of information through sites like WikiLeaks, and we know that this transformation is simply irrevocable, Turkey’s near abroad and strong friends' lands have a contingency to witness significant upheavals in coming times.
And that is why Turkey now must be a special voice as a leading democratic country in the region to spread universal and democratic values. Instead of a leader-by-leader tap-dancing-great-balancing act, while being fully aware of every country has its own set of circumstances, Turkey must begin honing its moral leadership and guide them by the best example.
That is why Turkey’s critical post-June of 2011 general election period, in which a new and civilian constitution is expected to be created, will not only matter to Turkey, but to the whole region, especially for its success in terms of its inclusiveness and orientation toward freedom.
Ambassador Ricciardone’s tough week
The United States’ newly appointed Ankara envoy Francis Ricciardone was back in Washington this week for the U.S.’ first-ever Global Chiefs of Mission Conference and had a tough week because of some very disturbing statements allegedly he made about Mubarak and Egypt’s political scenery when he was serving as an ambassador in Egypt between 2005 and 2008.
I asked Ambassador Ricciardone this week following Turkish-Armenian concert what he thinks about allegations that he was too soft on Egyptian leader in terms of human rights. Ricciardone briskly described the allegations as “nonsense” and told me “don’t believe,” without going into details. He gave the same short response when I repeated other quotes from Foreign Policy magazine.
The third time I asked Ricciardone how he would now describe Egypt’s level of political openness during his service years, he said: “While I was in Egypt, I noticed a similar situation vis-à-vis the construction of freedoms. You [in Turkey] made great progress rapidly and what makes me optimistic is that you want more... You want it and you will reach it. You will reach the desired point not by U.S. pressure but by the pressure you put on yourselves. We are friends and on your side.”
Since the links provided to a Foreign Policy article about Ricciardone’s interviews are no longer working (how, why and by whom?), we have no reason not to take the ambassador’s words over the “alleged” quotes.
Turkish-Armenian concert
Probably for the first time in Washington, a group of Armenian and Turkish musicians got together two back-to-back nights this week to give two great musical performances.
While the first concert, at Cosmos Club, drew an Armenian audience as well as Turkish, two Armenian attendees I talked to following the concert were disputing the benefit the event; they argued that in such circumstances politics dominates the air and the whole meaning of the artistic performance gets lost.
On the second night, this time at the Turkish Embassy residence, even though the concert hall was packed by a Turkish and American audience, there were only very few representatives from the Armenian community but no participation from the Armenian Embassy. Still, pianist Ayşe Taşpınar, who took the initiative to put together the concert, soprano Garineh Avakian, violinists Petros Boyadzyan and Movses Posossian and duduk player Albert Vardanyan filled Washington with their epic musical performances which were ended with “Sarı Gelin,” a folk song which they dedicated to the memory of Armenian Turkish hero Hrant Dink.
 
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Guest - Mine Ozcelik Bagrationi
2011-02-06 10:27:29
 As an ethnic Turk married to a loving and fine Armenian man, my heart fills with joy seeing Armenians and Turks who, against all odds, come together, albeit for very short times, to sing and perform together..sometimes. When will this pain and animosity between our peoples end? I will ask my Turkish friends, to refrain, or at least try to write non inflamatory posts here. I strongly believe that "Hurriyet English" is a non-biased, neutral and in a way ahead of its time online marvel. It has repeatedly posted almost all posts written by my husband, Preston Bagrationi. I hope that in the future, we can, both peoples, sing and celebrate every happy ocassion together. 
Guest - Random Armenian
2011-02-05 08:43:24
 "... two Armenian attendees I talked to following the concert were disputing the benefit the event; they argued that in such circumstances politics dominates the air and the whole meaning of the artistic performance gets lost." Unfortunately this is true since the Turkish embassy hosted the Hrant Dink concert, and yet in Turkey, the trial of Hrant Dink has been deliberately delayed and mismanaged. If this concert was put forth by the same Turkish and Armenian artists without the orchestration by any government, then the political aspect of this concert would not dominate the artistic and emotional content of the concert. I see this as a charm offensive put on by the Turkish government. That said it's highly likely that Turkish and Armenian artists can put on concerts like this on their own. There are an increasing number of non-governmental initiatives and dialogues between Armenians and Turks.